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A comprehensive set of questions and answers covering key concepts in financial markets and institutions. It explores topics such as the structure of the financial system, global market classifications, financial assets, types of institutions, market factors, fiscal and monetary policy, and money markets. Particularly useful for students studying finance, economics, or related fields.
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3 Parts of Financial System - ANSWER -Financial Markets
-Financial Institutions
-Market Infrastructure
Financial Markets Provide: - ANSWER -Price (determine price or equivalent return of asset)
-Liquidity (investors can buy or sell securities)
-Trading (cost of exchanging assets)
3 Classifications of Global Markets - ANSWER 1. Developed
Developed Markets - ANSWER -higher per capita income but lower growth potential
-N.Am., West Europe, Australia, NZ, Japan
Emerging Markets - ANSWER -Share some but not all characteristics of developed markets
-BRIC + PIIGS
Frontier Markets - ANSWER -small and less developed economies and markets
-Vietnam, East Europe (Albania, Serbia, Croatia, Romania), Sri Lanka, Argentina, Nigeria, Kuwait, Pakistan, Ukraine
2 Financial Assets Grouping: - ANSWER 1. Traditional - stocks, bonds, and money markets/cash
Sell Side Types of Institutions - ANSWER B/Ds
IB
CB
B/Ds - ANSWER -Link buyers and sellers
-buy/sell inventory
IB - ANSWER -Advise on MA
-Guidance on new issuance equity and debt
-underwriters
-origination/securitization
Commercial Banking - ANSWER -Corporate banking (cash mgmt, wires)
-FX
-Lending
2 Factors that impact the Market - ANSWER 1. Monetary Policy - FED
2 Factors Impact Market: Monetary Policy - FED - ANSWER -Adjusting interest rates (FF) impacts corporate and consumer borrowing/lending
-Controlling supply of money (+/-) as buyers/sellers of bonds or loosening/tightening reserves
2 Factors Impact Market: Fiscal Policy - Congress - ANSWER -Stimulate economy through gov spending (military infra)
-lower taxes stimulates spending while raising taxes pulls money out of economy
-Government deficit and inflation concerns (printing money)
Tax Reform Expected Effects - ANSWER -Reduced Corporate rate from 35% to 21% which drives profit margins and stimulates reinvestment/capex
-Increase GDP by 1.7% and add 340K jobs
-Possible impact of repatriation of offshore earnings
-Lower tax brackets may drive more consumer spending
Actual Tax Cut Effect - ANSWER Tax cuts accelerated stock buy backs not capex
AI and Robo Trading - ANSWER -85% trading done by HFT algos and program models
-triggered automatically based on preset inputs and factors
-less trading by IBs more algo which increases volatility through increased trading volume
-momentum strategies are popular in models
-Reduction in liquidity + increase in trading volumes can influence spikes in price
-Investors looking for safe havens - flight to safety
Other Market Factors - ANSWER -Investor Sentiment
-Company & Sector Outlook
-Forex (weak USD stimulates foreign trade in US goods - China manipulation?)
-Returns
-Liquidity
Company & Sector Outlooks - ANSWER -Earnings!!!
-Changes in financials (CFs, revenue)
-Valuations look at tech
Shrinking Stock Market - ANSWER -Private preference (VC + PE)
-Increased M&A
-IPOs down 20 years
-Old companies remain
-Fewer companies could foster concentration
Market Outlook from Experts - ANSWER -Stocks good, lower yields recession?
-Tariffs drag manufacturing
-Expected Earnings multiples down
-Fed bullets in chamber
-Inverted YC
$ of Negative Yielding Debt - ANSWER > 17T negative yielding
-German sold 10 yr at -0.25%
-Paying gov to hold money
Recession - ANSWER Significant Decline in economic activity that lasts more than few months
-Technical: two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth in US GDP
-Visible in industrial production, employment, Real income, Consumer spending, wholesale retail activity
Consumer Spending & Income - ANSWER -Accounts for 2/3 of US economy
-healthy over last years
-Spending outpaced after tax income - ppl saving less
-Recession comes, may have less cushion
Capital Markets - ANSWER 1. Money Markets
Money Markets:
-Gain = diff btw par and principal
-Retail --> Treasury direct.com
Dutch Auction Treasuries - ANSWER -Through 40 banks/dealers aka gov dealers
Competitive Bid - ANSWER -All successful bidders awarded highest accepted yield
accepts bid w/ highest price in descending order until entire quantity filled
-last fill price determines price that is used for all accepted bids
Non-competitive bids - ANSWER -Accept bills at competitive bid that was determined at auction
Commercial Paper - ANSWER -issued by corporations to raise short term cash for A/P, inventories, S/T liabilities
-Alternative to securing bank financing
-Maturity usually <270days
-Most mature in 90 days
-Unregistered securities
-CP typically unsecured and backed by lines of credit
-Issued on discount basis or interest bearing form
Commercial Paper Issuance - ANSWER -Discount: quoted as yield (10-20 bps over Tbills) and investors receive FV at maturity
-Interest Bearing: issued at FV and pays interest at maturity
-Placement
-Who issues
-Terms
-Secondary market?
-Buyers - ANSWER -CP can be placed directly w/ investors or thru dealers
-Direct issuers are financial companies
-Terms neg, funds wired same day
-Very small secondary market
-Buyers: MMMFs, banks, insurance, PFs
-rating
-Seniority
-Pricing - ANSWER - CP rated to assess default risk
-CP can be backed by assets (non top tier companies) where yields are higher than unsecured paper
-CP priced disc to par and yield calc over 360 days
CDs - ANSWER -Issued by banks
-Stated interest rate and maturity date
-Created as way to retain deposits
-Previously couldnt pay int on checking accounts
-Sold in denom of 100K to 10M (most 1M)
-Maturity usually 2 weeks to 6 months up to a year
-Rates neg by bank and investment firm
-Second most popular MM instrument
How CD rates are determined? - ANSWER -Current mkt conditions, rates paid by competing banks, yield on Tbills, credit risk of bank
New regs in effect 10/16:
-Gov MMF always transact at $
-Prime and Muni Funds impose liquidity fees and gates
-Insti funds have floating nav and may impose redemption fee of halt in redemptions
3 Types of MMF - ANSWER 1. Prime: invest in all types of ST securities
-Big - in AUM
-Big + in AUM
Top 5 US Bond Market by Category - ANSWER 1. Treasury
Bonds Characteristics - ANSWER -Indenture & covenants
-Interest rate (fixed, floating, ZC)
-PMT typically semi annual
-Priced in relation to state interest rate vs. current market rate and rating
Indenture - ANSWER Contract to protect bondholder
Covenants - ANSWER Maintain certain financial standards, limitations of use of cash, pledging of assets
Convertible Bond - ANSWER -Provide option to convert bond into CS at predetermined price
Yield Curve - ANSWER -2-10 spread
-Good sign: rates on LT bonds higher than ST
What happens as Fed raises ST interest rates? - ANSWER -Expect LT term yields to follow
-current expecting LT shrinking thus flattening
-Every recession over past 60 years preceded by Inversion
-If concerned move $ to LT bonds that may drive up prices and further flatten curve
Bond Trading: Markets - ANSWER -Primary Markets
-Secondary Markets
-Electronic Markets
Bonds: Primary Market - ANSWER Public or private placement offering
Bonds: Secondary Market - ANSWER -trading thru B/D, bank desks, insti investors
-Dealer - trades in/out inventory (Principal), broker (agent)
-Dealers make a market in bond pricing via bid/ask spread
Bonds: Electronic Market - ANSWER -30% of corporate trading
-NYSE, Tradeweb, MarketAxess, TMC Bonds
-Types: cross matching, interdealer, client to dealer systems
-Sell side dealers still major factor
Bond Trading:
-Size quoted
-Price quote
-Proceeds
Bearer Bonds - ANSWER -No longer issued in US
-Certificate issued to bearer who presents it for pmt
-allowed investors to avoid detection from paying taxes
-still issued to foreign investors in form of Eurobonds
Accrued Interest - ANSWER -Accumulated interest on bond since last PMT
-Seller due interest that has accrued from last PMT (aka coupon date) up to settlement date of sale
-Buyer pay for accrued interest in addition to price
Treasury Bonds - ANSWER -full faith and credit of US Gov
-Differ from Tbills bc pay semiannual interest
-Notes: 2,5,7,10 maturities
-Bonds: 10-30 years
How much % of treasuries do foreign investors own? - ANSWER 30% of US national debt
Treasury Bonds: New Issues - ANSWER -Only thru Primary Dealers
-Dutch Auction
-21 Primary dealers - resell to secondary mkts
-Accepts highest bid price until sold out and highest yield goes to everyone
-Trade close to par value
Treasuries: Secondary Market - ANSWER -Primary dealers sell to other broker/dealers or instis
-virtual 24 hour trading thru 3 locations (NY, LDN, TOK)
-10 year US GS is benchmark as compared with 2 year
When do Government Bonds settle? - ANSWER Next day = t+
Agency Bonds - ANSWER -Congress authorized US agencies to issue bonds
-VA FHA, FNMA, Freddie Mac
-Rates higher than treasuries: higher risk and lower liquidity
-Secondary market is thin and not as well developed as treasuries
Corporate Bonds:
Major Issuers?
For what?
Denom, interest?
Features?
Debenture?
Indenture?
Registration? - ANSWER -Utilities, transportation, industrials, bank and finance cos
-Raise $ for capex, WC, new ventures
-issued in $1,000 denominations
-Pay semi annual interest
-Deb and Ind
-Bonds issued in registered form (pmt wired)
Corps: Debenture - ANSWER Unsecured bond issued by large, stable companies
Corps: Indenture - ANSWER -Agreement btw issuer and holder
-explains funding terms, characteristics,
-contains covenants (restricts and binds) the issuer
Corp Bond Market:
Holders?
-became popular in 80s where used to finance takeovers
-Higher int rate (default rate)
-Rated Baa Moody's and BBB (S&P)
-Thinly traded
-Price more influenced by company stock price than change in interest rates
MBS - ANSWER Purpose: Encourage banks to make more mortgages
How MBS Originated - ANSWER -FNMA and FHLMC created by gov to faciliate creation and sale of pools from mortages originated by local banks
-Gov buys mortgages from banks, packages into pools, then sells to investors
-recycling funds back to banks to be used to issue more mortgages
-Generally yield between 2 and 4% more than treasuries (comp maturities)
MBS: Risks - ANSWER 1. Credit Risk: homeowner default due to drop in home values, economy
Muni's Purpose and two types - ANSWER Fund operations, build hospitals, universities, schools, prisons, infra, roads, waste treatment
-Often exempt from fed and state taxes on interest (issued at lower rates)
-when low rates, increase in bond issuance
-thinly traded
-Highly correlated with treasuries in terms of yield and maturity
2 Revenue Bonds
General Obligation - ANSWER Type of Muni
-supported by taxing power of muni (income tax, sales tax, corp tax, property tax)
Revenue Bonds - ANSWER Type of Muni
-Backed by revenue generating projects (tolls, airport fees, college dorm fees, convention centers, sport complexes)
-Greater risk
Munis: Primary Market - ANSWER -Hire underwriter/muni dpt of a bank to sell bonds
-offer price determined by competitive bid (req most states)
-or negotiated price with underwriter
Munis: Secondary Market - ANSWER -Thin and illiquid
-OTC through muni dealers (exclusive group)
-Small issuers - handled thru local banks and brokers
-Large issuers: handled through muni dealers
-Typically quoted in terms of yield vs. % par (gov and corp)
Munis: Investor Risks - ANSWER Interest Rates (market): changes in bond prices due to rate changes
Credit: deterioration of issuer financially
Inflation: makes future dollar worth less
Reinvestment: declining rates, int reinvested at lower rate, affects returns
Selection: bond underperforms broader market
Issuance - ANSWER Common
Preferred
Primary Markets: IPO - ANSWER -Primarily to large insti
-Registered with SEC
-listing exchange publish a reference price based on private transactions
-initial wide spread
ADRs? - ANSWER American Depository Receipts
-foreign companies list shares (certificates) in USD
-Bank purchases bulk of foreign shares, deposits them in local bank and then issues ADR in USD and sells them in market
-no voting rights and pay dividends
-trade closely to domestic share price
-subject to cancellation and delisting from US exchanges
EX: Nokia, Shell, Unilever
Sponsored ADRs - ANSWER Foreign co. enters into agreement with US bank to buy and reissue local shares into ADR's
Non-sponsored ADRs - ANSWER -traded on OTC market without cooperation from underlying company
PEG - ANSWER Price/Earnings/Growth Rate
-PEG <1 = undervalued stock
Buy Backs - ANSWER Repo shares directly or through stock markets to boost stock prices and earnings ratios
-shrink # boost EPS and reduce PE
-Timing crucial- buy when stock at historical lows
-some think buy backs restrain ability to reinvest in (R&D, Equip, Wages)
Current Buybacks - ANSWER -819B in 2018
-[E] 1T in 2019
-57% of 250 co bought back shares trailing market return
-executive comp tied to EPS targets
-comes down to how company wants to deploy capital
How much equity trades annually in US? - ANSWER $80 Trillion in US
-ICE owns NYSE
-NASD
-CBOE
-60% all equity trading
-Movement to launch low cost exchanges to counter high listing fees
-Members exchange or MEMX
MEMX - ANSWER Members Exchange
-backed by Fid, MS, Cit, UBS, Schwab
Trading volume trend since 2008? - ANSWER Downward trend
-peak 2008
-increased from 97 to 2008
NYSE - ANSWER "Big Board"
-both IPO and secondary market
-purchased by ICE on 12/12/
-2900 listed companies
-3 digit tickers
-trade 4B shares/day
NYSE Auction Market - ANSWER -bid/offer among floor brokers