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Central Limit Theorem - Lecture Slides | MATH 1530, Study notes of Probability and Statistics

Material Type: Notes; Class: Elementary Probability & Statistics; Subject: Mathematics; University: Pellissippi State Technical Community College; Term: Fall 2009;

Typology: Study notes

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 08/18/2009

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Central Limit Theorem
1. The random variable xhas a distribution (which
may or may not be normal) with mean µand
standard deviation σ.
2. Samples all of the same size n are randomly
selected from the population of xvalues.
Given:
1. The distribution of sample xwill, as the
sample size increases, approach a normal
distribution.
2. The mean of the sample means will be the
population mean µ.
3. The standard deviation of the sample means
will approach σ/ .
n
Conclusions:
Central Limit Theorem
Practical Rules
Commonly Used:
1. For samples of size nlarger than 30, the distribution of
the sample means can be approximated reasonably well
by a normal distribution. The approximation gets better
as the sample size n becomes larger.
2. If the original population is itself normally distributed,
then the sample means will be normally distributed for
any sample size n(not just the values of nlarger than 30).
the mean of the sample means
µx=µ
Notation
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Central Limit Theorem

1. The random variable

x^ has a distribution (which

may or may not be normal) with mean

μ^ and

standard deviation

σ.

2. Samples all of the same size

n^ are randomly

selected from the population of

x^ values.

Given:

1. The distribution of sample

x^ will, as the

sample size increases, approach a

normal

distribution.2. The mean of the sample means will be thepopulation mean

3. The standard deviation of the sample meanswill approach

σ/^

. n

Conclusions:

Central Limit Theorem

Practical RulesCommonly Used:

  1. For samples of size

n^ larger than 30, the distribution of the sample means can be approximated reasonably wellby a normal distribution. The approximation gets betteras the sample size

n^ becomes larger.

  1. If the original population is itself normally distributed,then the sample means will be normally distributed forany sample size

n^ (not just the values of

n^ larger than 30).

the mean of the sample means

μ = x^

μ Notation

Notation

the mean of the sample meansthe standard deviation of sample mean

μ = x^

σ= x^

σ n

Notation

the mean of the sample meansthe standard deviation of sample mean (often called standard error of the mean)

μ = x^

σ= x^

σ n

Distribution of 200 digits fromSocial Security Numbers(Last 4 digits from 50 students)

Figure 5-

Example:

Given the population of men has normally distributed weights with a mean of 172 lb and a standarddeviation of 29 lb,a) if one man is randomly selected, the probability that hisweight is greater than 167 lb. is 0.5675.

Example:

Given the population of men has normally distributed weights with a mean of 172 lb and a standarddeviation of 29 lb,b) if 12 different men are randomly selected, find theprobability that their mean weight is greater than 167 lb.

Example:

Given the population of men has normally distributed weights with a mean of 172 lb and a standarddeviation of 29 lb,b) if 12 different men are randomly selected, find theprobability that their mean weight is greater than 167 lb.

Example:

Given the population of men has normally distributed weights with a mean of 172 lband a standard deviation of 29 lb,b) if 12 different men are randomly selected, find z = 167 – 172 = –0.60the probability that their mean weight is greater^29 than 167 lb.^36

Example:^ z^ = 167 – 172 = –0.60^2936

Given the population of men has normally distributed weights with a mean of 143 lb and a standarddeviation of 29 lb,b.) if 12 different men are randomly selected, theprobability that their mean weight is greater than 167 lb is0.7257.

Example:

Given the population of men has normally distributed weights with a mean of 172 lb and a standarddeviation of 29 lb,b) if 12 different men are randomly selected, their meanweight is greater than 167 lb. a) if one man is randomly selected, find the probabilitythat his weight is greater than 167 lb.P( x^ > 167) = 0.5675P( x^ > 167) = 0.7257It is much easier for an individual to deviate from themean than it is for a group of 12 to deviate from the mean.