Docsity
Docsity

Prepare for your exams
Prepare for your exams

Study with the several resources on Docsity


Earn points to download
Earn points to download

Earn points by helping other students or get them with a premium plan


Guidelines and tips
Guidelines and tips

Marketing Plan for Agricultural Producers: Cost, Price Goals, Risk Management, Study notes of Agricultural engineering

Guidance for agricultural producers on developing a marketing plan to help identify and quantify costs, set price goals, determine potential price outlook, examine production and price risk, and develop a strategy for marketing their crop. Producers are encouraged to write down their marketing plan and adjust it as external market factors change. The document also discusses the importance of financial situation review, goal setting, sensitivity analysis, assessing market situation, and using production and price risk tools.

Typology: Study notes

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 08/18/2009

koofers-user-rf1
koofers-user-rf1 🇺🇸

5

(1)

10 documents

1 / 4

Toggle sidebar

This page cannot be seen from the preview

Don't miss anything!

bg1
Developing a Marketing Plan
Stan Bevers, Mark Waller, Steve Amosson and Dean McCorkle*
It is essential for an agricultural producer to have a written marketing plan.
Developing a good marketing plan will help you identify and quantify costs, set
price goals, determine potential price outlook, examine production and price risk,
and develop a strategy for marketing your crop.
While producers have traditionally done a good job of producing, they have
often neglected marketing. In the past, farm loan programs and deficiency pay-
ments allowed producers to neglect or ignore the marketing side of their business-
es. Now, with the possible elimination of farm programs and increased volatility
in the markets, producers will have the right and the obligation to determine their
own financial security. In this more uncertain and risky future, failing to plan
may be the same as planning to fail.
Importance of a Written Plan
In any business you must have a set of goals and objectives. A marketing plan
is a road map to work from. It helps identify where we are going and how we
are going to get there. Each marketing year we encounter has some similarity to
previous years, but we are still headed someplace we have never been before. We
need that map to help us maintain perspective and stay on course.
The marketing plan needs to be written down. A plan not written down is only
a dream we hope will come true. The plan must also be dynamic. As external
market factors change, the marketing plan may need to be adjusted. Having a
written plan provides discipline and is a good way to check your logic or the
accuracy of your thought process after the year has ended. By putting the plan in
writing, and sharing it with your spouse, partners, etc., you will have a reminder
that you had committed to follow a specific plan of action (for example, selling a
certain percent of the crop pre-harvest if prices reached (x) percent over your cost
of production). Writing down both the original plan and the changes allows you to
analyze your decisions and thought processes later. In this way, you can not only
identify what you did correctly, but more importantly, you can determine where
your analysis, strategies, or discipline have room for improvement. This is one of
the most critical reasons for having a written plan. You can not fix a mistake
until you know what it is, and without a written record, it may be diffi-
cult to identify what really went wrong.
Once you get the various parts of the plan put together, you
can start conducting what if or sensitivity analysis. Since
you know the future is uncertain, you may want to examine
different possible price and yield scenarios and see how your
strategies perform. You can also use the plan to help you
determine what you need to do in the worst case scenario.
This is extremely important, because you can not afford to let
one big mistake put you out of business.
R
i
s
k
M
a
n
a
g
e
m
e
n
t
E
d
u
c
a
t
i
o
n
RM3-3.0
4-98
*Assistant Professor and Extension Economist; Associate Professor and Extension Economist; Professor and
Extension Economist; and Extension Program Specialist-Risk Management, The Texas A&M University System.
pf3
pf4

Partial preview of the text

Download Marketing Plan for Agricultural Producers: Cost, Price Goals, Risk Management and more Study notes Agricultural engineering in PDF only on Docsity!

Developing a Marketing Plan

Stan Bevers, Mark Waller, Steve Amosson and Dean McCorkle*

It is essential for an agricultural producer to have a written marketing plan. Developing a good marketing plan will help you identify and quantify costs, set price goals, determine potential price outlook, examine production and price risk, and develop a strategy for marketing your crop. While producers have traditionally done a good job of producing, they have often neglected marketing. In the past, farm loan programs and deficiency pay- ments allowed producers to neglect or ignore the marketing side of their business- es. Now, with the possible elimination of farm programs and increased volatility in the markets, producers will have the right and the obligation to determine their own financial security. In this more uncertain and risky future, failing to plan may be the same as planning to fail.

Importance of a Written Plan

In any business you must have a set of goals and objectives. A marketing plan is a road map to work from. It helps identify where we are going and how we are going to get there. Each marketing year we encounter has some similarity to previous years, but we are still headed someplace we have never been before. We need that map to help us maintain perspective and stay on course. The marketing plan needs to be written down. A plan not written down is only a dream we hope will come true. The plan must also be dynamic. As external market factors change, the marketing plan may need to be adjusted. Having a written plan provides discipline and is a good way to check your logic or the accuracy of your thought process after the year has ended. By putting the plan in writing, and sharing it with your spouse, partners, etc., you will have a reminder that you had committed to follow a specific plan of action (for example, selling a certain percent of the crop pre-harvest if prices reached (x) percent over your cost of production). Writing down both the original plan and the changes allows you to analyze your decisions and thought processes later. In this way, you can not only identify what you did correctly, but more importantly, you can determine where your analysis, strategies, or discipline have room for improvement. This is one of the most critical reasons for having a written plan. You can not fix a mistake until you know what it is, and without a written record, it may be diffi- cult to identify what really went wrong. Once you get the various parts of the plan put together, you can start conducting what if or sensitivity analysis. Since you know the future is uncertain, you may want to examine different possible price and yield scenarios and see how your strategies perform. You can also use the plan to help you determine what you need to do in the worst case scenario. This is extremely important, because you can not afford to let one big mistake put you out of business.

R

is

k

M an agementEdu ca tio n

RM3-3.

*Assistant Professor and Extension Economist; Associate Professor and Extension Economist; Professor and Extension Economist; and Extension Program Specialist-Risk Management, The Texas A&M University System.

Components of a Marketing Plan

l Financial Situation and Goals. The first step in preparing a marketing plan is to review your financial situation. A review of the financial health of the operation (financial statements, debt load, non-farm income, etc.) will provide an initial idea of the amount of risk the opera- tion can bear. In addition to the financial situa- tion, your goals and objectives, personal risk preferences, age, etc. will enter into your deci- sion about what you produce, how you pro- duce and market the product, the risk manage- ment tools you use, and how much risk you want to accept or avoid. In some cases, lender requirements may be an over-riding factor. With deficiency payments gone, more lenders may require producers to have at least some price and/or production risk protection at a profitable level before they will approve a pro- duction loan.

l Determining What to Produce and Setting Price Goals. The second step is to determine which commodity/commodities to produce, and what price is needed to fulfill your goals. Given the increased planting flexibility associ- ated with the new farm bill, you need to start by determining which crop or livestock enter- prises are possible alternatives. The list of alternatives can then be compared by calculat- ing the cost of production and break-even prices. Often we calculate a break-even price to cover only production and harvesting expenses. As one economist put it, “You can go broke breaking even.” You need to calculate the price necessary to fulfill your goals. These goals should include gaining enough income to pay your production expenses and debt obligations, provide ample income for cash flow, and possi- bly contribute capital to operator equity. Additional goals could be sending a child to college or purchasing new machinery. Sensitivity analysis should be performed at this point to see how much a 5, 10, or 20 percent change in yields will affect break-even prices. Once you have an idea of the price objectives that will meet your costs and needs, you can compare the different crop alternatives to exist- ing forward pricing opportunities and outlook projections to get an idea of which crop may be more profitable or less risky during the coming year. This, of course, needs to be evalu- ated along with agronomic and crop rotation considerations.

l Market Outlook and Expectations. The third component of the marketing plan is to assess the market situation, and determine what might happen to prices as you progress through the production and marketing year.

While you may not be able to make precise price forecasts into the future, you may be able to get some idea of the probability that the market will offer a price that will meet your objectives some time during your marketing horizon. Knowing how markets typically act and ways they may change in the future can help in developing a marketing strategy. Most com- modity prices are seasonal. Seldom will the highest price for a seasonally produced com- modity occur when harvest is in process, but it does occasionally happen in short crop years. Some of the highest prices and best pricing opportunities commonly occur prior to harvest, such as at planting or pollination time. How do you expect the market to act this year? Supply and demand for the commodity around the world will dictate where prices go in the long run. Also, keep in mind that the supply/ demand situation can be heavily influenced by the political process both in the U.S. and around the world. In the short run, market prices also can be influenced by technical analysis, as many traders watch and follow those signals. In your marketing plan, write down those factors that you expect will influ- ence prices. Relevant market factors could include current U.S. and world ending stock levels, projected consumption and exports, growing conditions in the U.S. and around the world, changes in trade policies, economic or currency fluctuations, seasonal or cyclical price tendencies, and price chart for- mations or other technical indicators. Again, remember that a marketing plan must be dynamic. As conditions change, incorporate the changes into the marketing plan. With the advent of the information age and vast advances in information technology, the various pieces of information that influence market prices are more readily available to the public all the time. This ever increasing amount of information can be overwhelming at times, so try to maintain perspective and keep the big picture in mind. l Production Risk Tools. The fourth compo- nent of the marketing plan is production risk. There are numerous management practices such as irrigation, diversification, and disper- sion of land holdings that can be used by pro- ducers to help in the struggle against “Mother Nature” to reduce production risk. Beyond the cultural practices, other tools for reducing risk include using crop yield futures and options, as well as a growing list of insurance products. Crop yield futures and options have some inherent difficulties and have met with very lit-

Produced by Agricultural Communications, The Texas A&M University System

Educational programs of the Texas Agricultural Extension Service are open to all citizens without regard to race, color, sex, disability, religion, age or national origin. Issued in furtherance of Cooperative Extension Work in Agriculture and Home Economics, Acts of Congress of May 8, 1914, as amended, and June 30, 1914, in coop- eration with the United States Department of Agriculture. Texas Agricultural Extension Service, The Texas A&M University System. 1M, New ECO

Partial funding support has been provided by the Texas Wheat Producers Board, Texas Corn Producers Board, and the Texas Farm Bureau.