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Typology: Lecture notes
Uploaded on 03/08/2021
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An inconvenient truth: WTP: willingness to pay – in this case in order to avoid risks/cost when not entitled to risk protection. Measurements of passenger WTP will help policy makers to design effective financial instruments aimed at discouraging climate-unfriendly travel activities as well as to generate funds for the measures directed at climate change mitigation and adaptation. Valuation Methodology: It is called contingent valuation: is a social survey method here individuals are presented with information about specific environment changes, the values of which aren’t accounted for in economic markets or full captured through market based instruments. In the survey, individual perception, attitudes and preferences regarding these changes and their non-market values are elicited. In order to measure the effect of the suggested changes on people’s welfare, respondents were asked to state their willingness to pay or their willingness to accept compensation for the gains or losses involved. WTP is more popular method. the aggregated WTP or WTA amount provides an indicator of the total economic value (TEV) of any change in their provision, including their quality level. Within this we find that there are two main values: use values and non-use values. Whereas use values refer to the values associated with the actual use of the various goods and services provided by ecosystems and natural resources, non-use values are unrelated to any actual or potential use, and may refer for example to the value people attach to preserving ecosystems or species (existence values) or the value they attach to leaving a healthy environment behind for future generations (bequest value). Results: 60% of the passengers were male – passengers ranged between 18-83 years with an average of 38 years. 40% travelled for business reasons. 80% of passengers travelled alone. Besides income, significant differences are found between these nationalities in terms of (continental and intercontinental) travel frequency and the price paid for airplane tickets. Europeans and North Americans travel most frequently: about ten times per year. Passengers from the rest of the world travel half as much. North Americans paid most for their plane ticket (€950 including taxes and other services), followed by the rest of the world (€780) and Asians (€735). Most of the passengers came from Europe, followed by Asia, north America, Latin America and then Africa. Differences around investigating passenger knowledge and awareness of the impacts of flying on the environment and the link with climate change: UK and Dutch travellers were significantly more aware of the relationship between flying and climate change than other nationalities. The awareness level was lowest for passengers from Asia. Concern levels also showed huge differences between the passengers. UK passengers seem to show more concern more than any other nationality of passengers. There seemed to be no significant difference between North Americans and other non-UK Europeans, but concern is significantly lower in Asia, Latin America and Africa. UK residents also attach significantly more importance to the environment compared to other important public issues like employment, health and safety or economic growth. On the same scale, US citizens value the environment significantly less than any other group of passengers. Europeans and Asians also feel more responsible for climate change than North-Americans. When asked how much passengers know about the Kyoto protocol, we find that Europeans are more knowledgeable than other nationalities. Half of all European passengers know the protocol’s objectives. This is the case for 44% of the North-American passengers and 35% of the Asian travellers. North-Americans and Europeans are more convinced than Asians that the introduction of a carbon travel tax will be effective in tackling climate change. Testing the passenger pay principle: After introducing the idea of carbon tax to the passengers they were asked if they were willing to pay in principle for such a tax over and above the plane ticket for their current flight. Three quarters of all travellers were willing to pay a carbon tax in addition to the price of their current ticket. Differences again however, are found across continents where slightly more Europeans (80%) than North- Americans (75%) willing to pay in principle, and Asian travellers (59%) being least willing to pay for a carbon travel tax. Protests against tax mainly came from passengers not believing that the tax and proposed (trees for travel) program would have any real impact. Passengers who are willing to pay are primarily motivated by a sense of moral obligation and responsibility to pay for their contribution to climate change, concern about the environment in general and future generation. No evidence of “warm glow” indicating that travellers agree to pay because they like to
give good causes or charity. A considerable share of travellers wants to avoid future natural disasters etc indicating evidence of a positive risk premium. Based on the t-test, no significant differences can be found between Europeans and North-Americans or North Americans and Asians. Europeans are, however, willing to pay significantly more than air travellers from Asia. Relating the estimated mean WTP values to the mean values found for travel distance and corresponding GHG emissions, average WTP ranges between 20 eurocents per 100 km for air travellers from Asia and 1 euro per 100 km for air travellers from Europe. In the whole sample, passengers are willing to pay on average 60 eurocents per 100km they fly, corresponding to WTP of 25 euros per tonne of C emitted. This WTP sems to be quite lower than other elicited WTP’s from other studies. In comparison to estimates of the social cost of carbon as reviewed by Tol (1999), which vary between 8 and 35 euros per tCO2-eq at 2006 prices, we find that our WTP estimate is close to the estimated marginal damage cost, if somewhat at the higher end of the scale. Following the DB WTP question, respondents are asked in an open-ended (OE) follow- up question what the maximum amount of money is they are willing to pay over and above their current airplane ticket to compensate for their contribution to the emission of CO2 of their specific travel distance that day. Although the OE WTP values are significantly higher than the DB WTP values, again no significant differences can be found between Europeans and North-Americans and North-Americans and Asians. A significant difference exists between Europeans and Asians4. In order to avoid overestimation, we only present the lower bound Turnbull results in Table 1. When linking these individual OE WTP values to individual travel distances and GHG emissions, significant differences are found between all groups. Europeans are in this case willing to pay significantly more per travel distance and GHG emission than North- Americans and North-Americans are willing to pay significantly more than Asians. Correcting for travel distance and GHG emissions, the relative results change however. Europeans are now relatively willing to pay significantly more than North-American and Asian travellers, while no significant difference can be detected between the latter two groups. Mean WTP per ton GHG equals 6.5% of disposable household income for European travellers compared to 2.9% and 2.3% for North-American and Asian air travellers respectively. Finally, when asked how likely it is that air travellers will actually pay the stated maximum WTP if the carbon travel tax is voluntary, the results are not very convincing. Forty percent of the North-Americans consider it unlikely that they would pay in that case against 35% of the Europeans and 14% of the Asians. Fifty percent of the Asian travellers, 47% of the European and 37% of the North-American air travellers believe it is likely that they would pay. Conclusions: The main motivation for this positive WTP is not so much the general desire of people to give to charities and good causes, but rather stems from the recognition of responsibility and accountability for climate change as well as the genuine belief in the detrimental effects of climate change on future generations. Europeans are most aware and willing to pay for carbon offsets when controlling for the distances flown and associated GHG emission using the higher OE WTP results, whereas North Americans and Asians are less informed and less willing to act, also not when accounting for income differences (i.e. ability to pay). The lack of awareness in Asian travellers is a concern given the projected growth in the aviation industry in Asia. In our survey, people generally dislike being at risk and are willing to pay to reduce their exposure to risks associated with climate change. This reduced disamenity through mitigating climate change is an important economic benefit of action. Existence and bequest values and positive risk premiums over and above the ‘objective’ damage cost assessments should be accounted for more explicitly in existing economic reviews as it will add substantially to the burden of proof of direct action. The survey results show that 75% of the passengers are willing to pay on average €25 per tCO2-eq emitted using the conservative lower bound WTP estimate. On the supply side, the average price per tCO2-eq is currently around €12. We therefore conclude that the market potential for carbon offsets is substantial. A year after the paper, some voluntary offset schemes were implemented. They performed worse than expected. An important reason seems to be that passengers appear to be willing to participate if and only if other passengers do so too. Free riders or better ‘free flyers’ in this case appear to have a negative influence on passengers’ willingness to participate in offset schemes. Second, several governments in