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Introduction to Statistics - Elementary Probability and Statistics | MATH 1530, Study notes of Probability and Statistics

Material Type: Notes; Class: Elementary Probability & Statistics; Subject: Mathematics; University: Pellissippi State Technical Community College; Term: Spring 2004;

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Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley
Elementary Probability
and Statistics
MATH 1530
Cheryl B. Slayden
Associate Professor
of Mathematics
Some Graphics by
Bob Maschak
Media Specialist
2
Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley
Permission has been granted by
Pearson/Addison-Wesley
Publishing Company for use of
the graphics and text problems
from Elementary Statistics and
Essentials of Statistics by
Mario F. Triola
3
Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley
1-1 Overview
1-2 Types of Data
1-3 Critical Thinking
1-4 Design of Experiments
Chapter 1
Introduction to Statistics
pf3
pf4
pf5
pf8
pf9
pfa
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Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^1

Elementary Probability

and Statistics

MATH 1530

Cheryl B. Slayden Associate Professor of Mathematics

Some Graphics by Bob Maschak Media Specialist

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^2

Permission has been granted by

Pearson/Addison-Wesley

Publishing Company for use of

the graphics and text problems

from Elementary Statistics and

Essentials of Statistics by

Mario F. Triola

1-1 Overview

1-2 Types of Data

1-3 Critical Thinking

1-4 Design of Experiments

Chapter 1

Introduction to Statistics

22

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^4

Statistics

Two Meanings

™ Method of analysis

™ Specific numbers

1-1 Overview

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^5

™ Method of analysis

a collection of methods for planning experiments, obtaining data, and then organizing, summarizing, presenting, analyzing, interpreting, and drawing conclusions based on the data

Statistics

™ Specific number

numerical measurement describing

some characteristic of a sample

Statistic

Example: Twenty-three percent of people

polled believed that there are

too many polls.

44

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^10

1-2 Types of Data

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^11

™ Parameter

a numerical measurement describing

some characteristic of a population

population

parameter

Definitions

Definitions

™Statistic

a numerical measurement describing

some characteristic of a sample

sample

statistic

55

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^13

Definitions

™Quantitative Data

numbers representing counts or measurements

™ Qualitative (or categorical or attribute) Data

can be separated into different categories that are distinguished by some nonnumerical characteristic.

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^14

Definitions

™Quantitative Data

the incomes of college graduates

™ Qualitative (or categorical or attribute) Data

the genders (male/female) of college graduates

™Discrete

data result when the number of possible values is either a finite number or a ‘countable’ number of possible values

™ Continuous

(numerical) data result from infinitely many possible values that correspond to some continuous scale that covers a range of values without gaps, interruptions, or jumps

Definitions

(^2 )

77

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^19

™ ordinal level of measurement

involves data that can be arranged in some order, but differences between data values either cannot be determined or are meaningless

Example: Course grades A, B, C, D, or F

Definitions

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^20

™ interval level of measurement

like the ordinal level, with the additional property that the difference between any two data values is meaningful. However, there is

no natural zero starting point (where none of

the quantity is present)

Example: Years 1000, 2000, 1776, and 1492

Definitions

™ ratio level of measurement

the interval level modified to include the natural zero starting point (where zero

indicates that none of the quantity is

present). For values at this level, differences and ratios are meaningful.

Example: Prices of college textbooks

Definitions

88

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^22

Levels of Measurement

™ Nominal - categories only

™ Ordinal - categories with some order

™ Interval - differences but no natural

starting point

™ Ratio - differences and a natural

starting point

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^23

Section 1-

Critical Thinking

™ Almost all fields of study benefit

from the application of

statistical methods

Critical Thinking

™Bad Samples

self-selected survey

(or voluntary response sample)

one in which the respondents themselves decide whether to be included

1010

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^28

Bachelor High School Degree Diploma

Salaries of People with Bachelor’s Degrees and with High School Diplomas

$40,

30,

25,

20,

35,

$40,

20,

10,

0

30,

Bachelor High School Degree Diploma (a) (b)

$40,500 $40,

$24,

$24,

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^29

Critical Thinking

™ Graphs

™ Voluntary Response Samples

™ Small Samples

™ Pictographs

Double the length, width, and height of a cube, and the volume increases by a factor of eight

1111

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^31

Critical Thinking

™ Percentages ™ Loaded Questions ™ Order of Questions ™ Refusals ™ Etc.

™ Voluntary Response Samples ™ Small Samples ™ Graphs ™ Pictographs

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^32

Design of Experiments

Section 1-

™ If sample data are not collected in an appropriate way, the data may be completely useless.

™ Randomness typically plays a crucial role in determining which data to collect.

Two Major Points

1313

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^37

™ Confounding occurs in an experiment when the effects from two or more variables cannot be distinguished from each other

Definitions

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^38

™ Replication used when an experiment is repeated on a sample of subjects that is large enough so that we can see the true nature of any effects (instead of being misled by erratic behavior of samples that are too small)

Definitions

™ Random Sample

when members from the population are selected in such a way that each individual member has an equal chance of being selected.

Randomization and

Other Sampling Strategies

1414

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^40

™ Simple Random Sample

when size n subjects is selected in such a way that every possible sample of the same size n has the same chance of being chosen.

Randomization and

Other Sampling Strategies

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^41

Random Sampling - selection so that

each has an equal chance of being selected

Systematic Sampling - Select some starting point and then select every K th element in the population.

Example: Every third person

1616

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^46

™ Random

™ Systematic

™ Convenience

™ Stratified

™ Cluster

Methods of Sampling

Chapter 1. Section 1-1,1-2,1-3,1-4. Triola, Essentials of Statistics, Second Edition. Copyright 2004. Pearson/Addison-Wesley^47

™ Sampling Error

the difference between a sample result and the true population result; such an error results from chance sample fluctuations.

™ Non-sampling Error

sample data that are incorrectly collected, recorded, or analyzed (such as by selecting a biased sample, using a defective instrument, or copying the data incorrectly).

Definitions