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this covers linear regression. this document is a study guide
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_AP Statistics Test B – Modeling Data – Part II Name _____________________
___ 1. All but one of the statements below contain a mistake. Which one could be true? A) The correlation between height and weight is 0.568 inches per pound. B) The correlation between weight and length of foot is 0.488. C) The correlation between the breed of a dog and its weight is 0.435. D) The correlation between gender and age is -0.171. E) If the correlation between blood alcohol level and reaction time is 0.73, then the correlation between reaction time and blood alcohol level is -0.73.
___ 2. A correlation of zero between two quantitative variables means that A) we have done something wrong in our calculation of r. B) there is no association between the two variables. C) there is no linear association between the two variables. D) re-expressing the data will guarantee a linear association between the two variables. E) None of the above.
___ 3. A residuals plot is useful because I. it will help us to see whether our model is appropriate. II. it might show a pattern in the data that was hard to see in the original scatterplot. III. it will clearly identify influential points. A) I only B) II only C) I and II only D) I and III only E) I, II, and III
___ 4. Which of the following is not a goal of re-expressing data? A) Make the distribution of a variable more symmetric. B) Make the spread of several groups more alike. C) Make the form of a scatterplot more nearly linear. D) Make the scatter in a scatterplot spread out evenly rather than following a fan shape. E) All of the above are goals of re-expressing data.
___ 5. The correlation coefficient between the hours that a person is awake during a 24-hour period and the hours that same person is asleep during a 24-hour period is most likely to be A) exactly +1.0 B) near +0.8 C) near 0 D) near -0.8 E) exactly -1.
___ 6. The correlation coefficient between high school grade point average (GPA) and college GPA is 0.560. For a student with a high school GPA that is 2.5 standard deviations above the mean, we would expect that student to have a college GPA that is the mean. A) equal to B) 0.56 SD above C) 1.4 SD above D) 2.5 SD above
___ 7. A regression analysis of students’ college grade point averages (GPAs) and their high school GPAs found R^2 = 0.311. Which of these is true? I. High school GPA accounts for 31.1% of college GPA. II. 31.1% of college GPAs can be correctly predicted with this model. III. 31.1% of the variance in college GPA can be accounted for by the model
A) I only B) II only C) III only D) I and II E) None
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___ 8. Although there are annual ups and downs, over the long run, growth in the stock market averages about 9% per year. A model that best describes the value of a stock portfolio is probably: A) linear B) logarithmic C) exponential D) power E) quadratic
___ 9. When using midterm exam scores to predict a student’s final grade in a class, the student would prefer to have a A) positive residual, because that means the student’s final grade is higher than we would predict with the model. B) positive residual, because that means the student’s final grade is lower than we would predict with the model. C) residual equal to zero, because that means the student’s final grade is exactly what we would predict with the model. D) negative residual, because that means the student’s final grade is lower than we would predict with the model. E) negative residual, because that means the student’s final grade is higher than we would predict with the model.
___ 10.The model distance ˆ^ 3.30 0.235( speed )can be used to predict the stopping distance
(in feet) for a car traveling at a specific speed (in mph). According to this model, about how much distance will a car going 65 mph need to stop? A) 4.3 feet B) 18.6 feet C) 27.0 feet D) 345.0 feet E) 729.0 feet
b. Wildlife advocates want the stork population to grow, and jokingly suggest that citizens should be encouraged to have children. As a statistician, what do you think of this suggestion? Explain briefly.
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b. If a student studies for 15 hours, what score should the student expect on the next exam? Show your work.
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A scatterplot of these data looks like:
Time (yr)
Mass (g)
0 5000 10000 15000 20000
100
80
60
40
20
0
Scatterplot of Mass (g) vs Time (yr)
a. Straighten the scatterplot by re-expressing these data and create an appropriate model for predicting the mass from the year.
b. Use your model to estimate what the mass will be after 7500 years.
c. Can you use your model to predict when 50 g of the sample will be left? Explain.