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Models for Analysis of Financial Statements - Lecture Notes |, Study notes of Management Accounting

Material Type: Notes; Class: Managerial Accounting; Subject: Accounting; University: Danville Area Community College; Term: Forever 1989;

Typology: Study notes

2009/2010

Uploaded on 04/04/2010

aweymuth
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03model 11/30/2020 7:21 12/2/2002
Chapter 3. Model for Analysis of Financial Statements
Financial statements are analyzed by calculating certain key ratios and then comparing them with the ratios of
other firms and by examining the trends in ratios over time. We can also combine ratios to make the analysis
more revealing, as is done with the Du Pont analysis, and graphs can be used to facilitate trend analysis.
Spreadsheet models such as the one below are exceptionally useful for this type of analysis.
Note that financial analysis is generally the starting point for a forecast of future performance. We analyze
historical data, then plan changes in operations, and then forecast what results will be under the new operating
plan. This is where spreadsheets become REALLY useful, as we can make changes in assumptions and instantly
see the results of those changes. Thus, the Chapter 3 model is really a lead-in to later chapters.
INPUT DATA
2002 2001
Year-end common stock price $23.00 $26.00
Year-end shares outstanding (in millions) 50 50
Tax rate 40% 40%
After-tax cost of capital 11.0% 10.3%
Lease payments $28 N/A
Principal payments $20 N/A
Balance Sheets
(in millions of dollars)
Assets 2002 2001
Cash and marketable securities $10 $80
Accounts receivable $375 $315
Inventories $615 $415
Total current assets $1,000 $810
Net plant and equipment $1,000 $870
Total assets $2,000 $1,680
Liabilities and equity
Accounts payable $60 $30
Notes payable $110 $60
Accruals $140 $130
Total current liabilities $310 $220
Long-term bonds $754 $580
Total debt $1,064 $800
Preferred stock (400,000 shares) $40 $40
Common stock (50,000,000 shares) $130 $130
Retained earnings $766 $710
Total common equity $896 $840
Total liabilities and equity $2,000 $1,680
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03model 11/30/2020 7:21 12/2/

Chapter 3. Model for Analysis of Financial Statements

Financial statements are analyzed by calculating certain key ratios and then comparing them with the ratios of other firms and by examining the trends in ratios over time. We can also combine ratios to make the analysis more revealing, as is done with the Du Pont analysis, and graphs can be used to facilitate trend analysis. Spreadsheet models such as the one below are exceptionally useful for this type of analysis. Note that financial analysis is generally the starting point for a forecast of future performance. We analyze historical data, then plan changes in operations, and then forecast what results will be under the new operating plan. This is where spreadsheets become REALLY useful, as we can make changes in assumptions and instantly see the results of those changes. Thus, the Chapter 3 model is really a lead-in to later chapters. INPUT DATA 2002 2001 Year-end common stock price $23.00 $26. Year-end shares outstanding (in millions) 50 50 Tax rate 40% 40% After-tax cost of capital 11.0% 10.3% Lease payments $28 N/A Principal payments $20 N/A Balance Sheets (in millions of dollars) Assets 2002 2001 Cash and marketable securities $10 $ Accounts receivable $375 $ Inventories $615 $ Total current assets $1,000 $ Net plant and equipment $1,000 $ Total assets $2,000 $1, Liabilities and equity Accounts payable $60 $ Notes payable $110 $ Accruals $140 $ Total current liabilities $310 $ Long-term bonds $754 $ Total debt $1,064 $ Preferred stock (400,000 shares) $40 $ Common stock (50,000,000 shares) $130 $ Retained earnings $766 $ Total common equity $896 $ Total liabilities and equity $2,000 $1,

Income Statements (in millions of dollars) 2002 2001 Net sales $3,000.0 $2,850. Operating costs $2,616.2 $2,497. Earnings before interest, taxes, & deprn (EBITDA) $383.8 $353. Depreciation $100.0 $90. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) $283.8 $263. Less interest $88.0 $60. Earnings before taxes (EBT) $195.8 $203. Taxes (40%) $78.3 $81. Net Income before preferred dividends $117.5 $121. Preferred dividends $4.0 $4. Net Income available to common stockholders $113.5 $117. Common dividends $57.5 $53. Addition to retained earnings $56.0 $64. Calculated Data: Operating Performance & Cash Flows 2002 2001 Net operating working capital (NOWC) $800.0 $650. Total operating capital $1,800.0 $1,520. Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) $170.3 $157. Net Cash Flow (Net income + Depreciation) $213.5 $207. Operating Cash Flow (OCF) $270.3 $247. Free Cash Flow (FCF) ($109.7) N/A Calculated Data: Per-share Information 2002 2001 Earnings per share (EPS) $2.27 $2. Dividends per share (DPS) $1.15 $1. Book value per share (BVPS) $17.92 $16. Cash flow per share (CFPS) $4.27 $4. Free cash flow per share (FCFPS) ($2.19) N/A At this point, we can use the previously determined data to calculate the ratios outlined throughout Chapter 3. Calculated Data: Ratios Industry 2002 2001 Average Liquidity ratios Current Ratio 3.2 3.7 4. Asset Management ratios Inventory Turnover 4.9 6.9 9. Days Sales Outstanding 45.6 40.3 36. Fixed Asset Turnover 3.0 3.3 3. Total Asset Turnover 1.5 1.7 1. Debt Management ratios Debt Ratio 53.2% 47.6% 40.0% Times Interest Earned 3.2 4.4 6. EBITDA Coverage Ratio 3.0 N/A 4. Profitability ratios Profit Margin 3.8% 4.1% 5.0% Basic Earning Power 14.2% 15.7% 17.2% Return on Assets 5.7% 7.0% 9.0% Return on Equity 12.7% 14.0% 15.0% Market Value ratios Price-to Earnings Ratio 10.1 11.0 12. Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio 5.4 6.3 6. Market-to-Book Ratio 1.3 1.5 1.